AFGHAN HEROIN CROP MULTIPLYING, SAYS US

WASHINGTON -- Poppy cultivation increased nearly 19-fold between 2001 and
2002 in Afghanistan, the world's leading exporter of heroin, says a new US
government study of poppy cultivation in the post- Taliban state.

According to the new survey released by the US Office of National Drug
Control Policy, local farmers cultivated approximately 30,759 hectares in
2002, during the peak season for poppy in Afghanistan, the first since the
December 2001 Bonn Agreement which established the first interim authority
after the Taliban were ousted.

During the same period in 2001, only 1,685 hectares of poppy were
cultivated in the last year of the Taliban's rein in the Central Asian
state. The 2001 decline was due largely to a ban on poppy cultivation
imposed by Taliban leader Mullah Omar in July 2001.

"Poppy cultivation in Afghanistan is a serious problem," US drug Czar John
Walters said in a statement released Friday. "Drug cultivation and
trafficking undermine the rule of law and the ability of the Afghan people
to rebuild their country and join the international community."

Under the December 2001 Bonn Agreement, the Afghan interim authority agreed
to cooperate with the United Nations' Office on Drugs and Crime to end
trafficking and cultivation of all illicit drugs. One US official said
Friday however that the spike in poppy cultivation was not due to lack of
cooperation from Hamid Karzai's government, but rather a lack of law
enforcement infrastructure.

The principal regions for poppy cultivation in Afghanistan are the
provinces on its border with Pakistan - Nangarhar, Helmand, Kandahar, and
Oruzgan. These regions, largely populated by Pashtoons (the Afghan ethnic
faction most closely linked to the Taliban) are largely immune to the
edicts from the government in Kabul.

While the Taliban had significant success in eradicating most poppy
cultivation in these provinces in 2001, their methods are not likely to be
repeated by the Karzai government. The State Department's 2001 report on
international drug trafficking released in March says, "The success of the
Taliban poppy ban was a significant accomplishment during 2000, but success
was achieved through draconian enforcement actions with no concern for poor
farmers' welfare, a series of policy actions unlikely to be replicated by a
civilized administration." Indeed, despite the decrease in cultivation,
heroin traffic from Afghanistan did not decrease under the Taliban's poppy
ban as many farmers sold their surplus supplies.

But other factors may impede Karzai's government from cracking down on the
heroin trade. Indeed, some warlords still influential in Afghanistan have
profited in the past from their country's illicit drug trade.

"Poppy cultivation in Afghanistan is a serious problem," said John Walters,
Director of National Drug Control Policy. "Drug cultivation and trafficking
undermine the rule of law and the ability of the Afghan people to rebuild
their country and join the international community. It is in the interest
of all nations to help the Karzai government combat illicit drug
cultivation. We have an unprecedented opportunity in Afghanistan to reduce
international opium production, but we must act together, and we must act now."

The report says that due to a difficult security situation on the ground in
Afghanistan this last year, both the United Nations and the US government
faced a daunting task in providing crop estimates. It is widely hoped that
a more stable environment will facilitate efforts to gather additional data
during next year's estimate.