SPINNING A FAILED WAR ON DRUGS

Our government says we're winning the war on drugs. At a press
conference to release results of the government's major annual drug
use survey Sept. 6, both White House drug czar John Walters and
Secretary of Health and Human Services Mike Leavitt said so, with
Walters touting "fewer teens using drugs today."

Not quite. When you cut through the spin and look at the actual
numbers, it's clear that Walters is again trying to fool the public --
much as Richard Nixon did back in 1972, when he first claimed we were
"winning" the war on drugs.

While drug use rates reported in the just-released 2006 National
Survey on Drug Use and Health are essentially unchanged from 2005,
Walters and Leavitt touted declines in current teen use of illicit
drugs since 2002, from 11.6 to 9.8 percent, and a parallel decline in
current marijuana use from 8.2 to 6.7 percent.

That sounds impressive -- until you look at the long-term trends. If
you go back another 10 years, to 1992, the rate of current teen use of
illicit drugs was just 5.3 percent, and current marijuana use was at
3.4 percent. So while it edged down a bit in the last five years, teen
drug use is actually nearly double what it was 15 years ago.

Walters and Co. have an explanation for this, of course. They say that
the methodology of the survey was changed in 2002, so you can't
compare earlier figures with recent ones. But that claim is shaky at
best.

First, not all experts agree that the changes in the survey were
enough to drastically alter the results. Second, another
government-funded survey of teen drug use that hasn't changed its
methodology, called Monitoring the Future, has documented strikingly
similar trends.

In the 2006 Monitoring the Future survey, released last December, 16.8
percent of 10th-graders reported current use of at least one illicit
drug -- a drop from 20.8 percent in 2002, but a substantial increase
over the 11 percent rate in 1992. For marijuana, current use among
10th-graders soared from 8.1 percent in 1992 and 14.2 percent in 2006.

None of this stopped Leavitt from claiming, "The trends in general are
very encouraging." Do these people not read their own data, or do they
just think we're fools? The fact is that Walters and colleagues have
squandered well over a billion of our tax dollars on a failed ad
campaign, mostly aimed at demonizing marijuana, and are desperate to
show some results. So they cherry-pick a few numbers that seem to make
their case, and ignore the rest.

And before you buy Walters' frequent claim that "we took our eye off
the ball" fighting drug abuse in the '90s, don't forget that between
1991 and 2000, marijuana arrests skyrocketed from 282,000 to 734,497.

But buried in the new NSDUH results are some fascinating and sometimes
disturbing tidbits. The percentage of Americans who reported using
illicit drugs in the past year or past month edged up slightly, and
this increase was driven by jumps in use of some of the most dangerous
drugs: cocaine, narcotic pain drugs, and stimulants (a category that
includes methamphetamine).

While most of the changes were small and not statistically
significant, those that were significant are alarming. For example,
among 14- to 15-year-olds, past-month use of deadly inhalants rose
significantly, as did past-month use of sedatives. This raises the
disturbing possibility that scare campaigns focused on marijuana are
driving kids to try drugs that are far more dangerous.

The drug czar will never admit it, but the long-term picture is clear:
Our current drug policies don't work. The government's bizarre
overemphasis on marijuana -- a drug that is beyond question safer than
such legal drugs as alcohol and tobacco -- has had little effect on
marijuana use, but may well be making our hard-drug problem worse.

It's long past time we had policy based on facts, not
spin.