ETHNIC KAREN LOSING IN MYANMAR STRUGGLE

Asia: Group has had to scale back goal of self-rule amid waning
international support for its refugees and their cause.

MAE SOT, Thailand--Their battle for self-rule is one of the world's longest
wars, a struggle that spans 52 years and generations of death. But today
the ethnic Karen of Myanmar are facing a harsh awakening: Their long,
lonely journey may beleading them nowhere.

Here along the Thai border with Myanmar, often referred to by its previous
name, Burma, more than 100,000 Karen are cloistered in 11 camps of bamboo
huts spread out along the frontier. There are thousands more refugees
living outside the camps.

International attention to their plight--minimal in the best of times--is
waning. Their military capability is dwindling. Their refugee population is
growing, at the rate of 500 a month, and even Thailand, their traditional
protector, increasingly considers them a burden, which some Thai
politicians want eased with their repatriation within three years.

The Karen, along with a similar number of East Timorese in the Indonesian
province of West Timor, represent the last large concentrations of
externally displaced people in Southeast Asia, where the refugee population
has sunk to its lowest level in more than 20 years with the resettlement of
the masses who fled Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia in the aftermath of the
Vietnam War.

"We look to the East, and we see nothing," said Saw Tay Tay, director of
the Karen Refugee Committee, who works out of a garage adorned with
pictures of Myanmar's dissident leader, Aung San Suu Kyi. "But we look to
the West, and we see moral support, maybe even a solution, because of its
opposition to the Burma government. We know where our bread is buttered.

"But times have changed. We're no longer under any illusion that we can
defeat the Burmese army and achieve independence. And we realize that
countries should not be divided. We feel people can coexist if they are
treated fairly. If we can be assured our dignity, that would be enough. We
could live at peace with the Burma government."

If the Karen have scaled back their aspirations, it is largely because they
have had no choice. Myanmar's army overran the Karen National Union, or
KNU, stronghold at Manerplaw in 1995 and continues to nibble away at its
border enclaves, pushing the Karen--many of whom fought for Britain during
World War II even as Burma supported Japan--near or into Thailand. The
KNU's fighting strength has dwindled to 2,000 to 3,000 men, and the war has
ebbed into spasms of platoon-level engagements.

Meanwhile, Myanmar's government, a repressive band of soldiers known as the
State Peace and Development Council, has signed peace treaties with the
country's 15 other ethnic groups. In return for laying down their arms,
some of the groups, such as the Wa, have been given a large degree of
autonomy and the OK to produce drugs, which flood into Thailand and make
their way to distant corners of the world.

The Karen, many of whom were converted to Christianity by U.S. missionaries
two centuries ago, have never played by the same rules. They have shunned
the drug trade and held nothing more than preliminary peace talks with the
Myanmar government. But their influence inside Myanmar has diminished with
their falling numbers, as tens of thousands fled to Thailand, some to
escape fighting, others to seek economic opportunity.

"There's no jobs in Burma, not enough food, very little medicine," said
Aung Kyaw, 26, as a medic at Dr. Cynthia's Clinic in Mae Sot, Thailand,
examined his sick daughter. After two years in Mae Sot, Aung Kyaw, a high
school dropout, earns the equivalent of $50 a month as a gardener, more
than a university professor with a doctorate would make in Myanmar.

Aung Kyaw is one of an estimated 100,000 illegal Myanmar immigrants, many
of them Karen, in Thailand, in addition to those in the overflowing refugee
camps. Over the course of many years, dating back to the Vietnam War,
Thailand has been Southeast Asia's most hospitable country for refugees.
But its patience is running thin with Myanmar refugees after two
embarrassing incidents that could result in the welcome mat being withdrawn.

In October 1999, five Myanmar rebel gunmen took over the Myanmar Embassy in
Bangkok, the Thai capital. After releasing their hostages unharmed, the
rebels were allowed to go free, much to the annoyance of the generals in
Myanmar. Then in January, 10 Karen rebels stormed a Thai provincial
hospital and held the staff and patients hostage. The rebels were killed by
Thai commanders. On both occasions, the goal of the attackers was unclear.

Thailand responded to the crisis by sending about 200 Karen back across the
Friendship Bridge that spans the Moei River on the border and increasing
security at the camps. Thai Prime Minister Chuan Leekpai, who toured
several camps, said, "The refugee situation is a problem, which must be
urgently solved." Myanmar, though, is reluctant to accept returnees who are
political dissidents and an economic burden.

"It's a very difficult situation, a day-to-day struggle, because young
people are leaving Burma to get jobs to support their families and the
Thais don't really want them here and the government in Yangon does not
want to take them back," said Dr. Cynthia Maung, a refugee who set up her
clinic in Mae Sot in 1988.

The Karens' struggle today, said one Western refugee specialist, isn't so
much about independence or autonomy as it is about geopolitics and
economics. Along the border, they represent a convenient buffer for forces
inside Myanmar battling for control of the teak forest industry and the
drug trade. To countries such as the United States and Britain that want to
isolate Myanmar because of human rights abuses and involvement in drugs,
the Karen are a welcome destabilizing force against the generals in Yangon,
Myanmar's capital.

So Saw Tay Tay, in his garage in Mae Sot, sharing tea with a guest, paused
and had to think hard when asked what 52 years of armed struggle had
achieved for the Karen. "Well," he said after a while, "perhaps not much.
The situation isn't getting any better."