AFGHAN OPIUM TRADE FLOURISHES

U.N. Experts Say Eradication Efforts Largely Fail Due To Lucrative Prices
Farmers Receive

KABUL, Afghanistan -- The Afghan government has "largely failed" in its
4-month-old effort to eradicate the opium poppy crop in Afghanistan, which
in recent years became the world's biggest producer of the raw material for
heroin, U.N. crop experts reported Sunday.

Their figures show the 2002 crop, close to the high levels of the late
1990s, could be worth more than $1 billion at the farm level in Afghanistan.

"That's a big chunk of GDP (gross domestic product)," said Hector Maletta,
a spokesman for the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization. This
impoverished nation's gross domestic product for 1999, the latest estimate
available, was put at $21 billion.

By the late 1990s, Afghanistan was supplying 70 percent of the world's
opium. Then, in 2000, the Taliban government banned poppy cultivation, and
U.N. and U.S. drug agencies determined that this led to an almost total --
96 percent -- reduction in acreage devoted to the crop in the 2001 growing
season.

But the U.S.-led war that ousted the Taliban late last year prompted Afghan
farmers to plant poppy again over tens of thousands of acres.

In April, the interim government of President Hamid Karzai announced an
eradication program. Farmers would be compensated with $500 per acre for
destroyed poppy, the government said. That's only a fraction of the
estimated $6,400 per acre of gross income a farmer can earn on poppy,
according to the FAO report.

The government efforts failed despite pressure from the United States,
Western Europe and other countries that fear a sharp rise in the supply of
heroin. Only relatively small patches of opium in several regions of
Afghanistan were destroyed.

The great bulk of heroin produced from Afghan opium is used by addicts in
Europe. The British government, in particular, has pressured Karzai to
crack down, as did Iranian President Mohammad Khatami on a visit to Kabul
last week. Iran has an estimated 2 million opium and heroin addicts.

The U.N. poppy forecast came in a section of a joint report by the FAO and
the U.N. World Food Program assessing all Afghan crops and food supplies.

The report estimated that 225,000 acres of poppy were planted, and 150,000
to 175,000 acres have been or will be harvested.

The move back into poppy cultivation, which in recent years has supported
tens of thousands of Afghan farmers and farm laborers, has hurt the
domestic food supply, the U.N. report said.

(SIDEBAR)

War update

DEATH PROBE: A confidential U.N. memorandum found evidence to justify a
"full-fledged criminal investigation" into the deaths in Afghanistan of
hundreds of Taliban prisoners held by the U.S.-backed northern alliance,
Newsweek reported Sunday.

BUSH EXPLANATION: If President Bush orders military action against Iraq, he
will explain to Americans his decision to try to remove Saddam Hussein from
power, a White House aide said Sunday. " ... you'll find, because of the
abysmal record of Saddam Hussein and the threat that he causes in the
region, and to us as well, that we will have support," said Dan Bartlett,
the president's communications director. The Bush administration accuses
Iraq of supporting terrorism.